Best bets for the Chiefs-Bills and Cardinals-Cowboys Monday night doublehader

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If you're like me, you find yourself a bit surprised by the fact that it's Monday afternoon, and we haven't seen a coach fired in the NFL yet. Like, what is there left for Adam Gase to do with the to prove to those in charge that it's not going to work? I feel like the only reason Gase is still employed is that the front office realizes that firing him might jeopardize the team's chances of getting the No. 1 pick and drafting Clemson's Trevor Lawrence.They can't risk some interim coach getting the team to believe in itself for a week and picking up a win. At this point firing Adam Gase might be dumber than, oh, I don't know, trading a player like Mookie Betts just as he's about to enter his prime. Nobody would be that dumb, right?Anyway, while we don't have any MLB playoff games tonight, we're still being ble sed with another Monday night doubleheader. We do not deserve it, but we will not be returning it, either. I have picks for both games coming up shortly, but before we get into that, check out what's going on in the world of sports first. . . . .OK, let's make some money The Hot Ticket The Pick: Chiefs -5.5 (-110): Ordinarily, you're not going to find me being the guy taking a road favorite in a prime-time or spotlight game, but I don't see any other choice here. There are just too many things pointing to the Chiefs here. First of all, Kansas City is not only coming off a lo s, but it's had extra time to prepare for this game. The last thing I want to give Andy Reid before facing him Marshawn Lynch Jersey is more time to develop a game plan. More than that, though, it's concerns over how this Buffalo defense matches up against the Kansas City offense. The 2020 version of the Buffalo defense isn't as good as the one we saw last season. The Bills rank 27th in the NFL in defensive DVOA. They haven't been good against the run or the pa s and are particularly bad against tight ends. The Buffalo pa s rush has been virtually non-existent this year, which plays a role in the team's inability to stop the pa s. Buffalo's sack rate of 5.1% ranks 21st in the league. If you can't pre sure and can't cover , precisely what can you do to stop the Chiefs? Unle s we see a mistake-laden performance that we just don't see from this Chiefs team, I don't see anything happening here, but a Kansas City win and cover.Key Trend: Patrick Mahomes is 12-5-1 ATS on the road as a starter.The Advanced Computer Model is at it again, simulating games over 10,000 times to find out who is going to win. . The Picks NFL The Pick: Cowboys -1 (-110) --Losing for the rest of the season is terrible, but it's not like the Cowboys were left in an awful position without him. The Cowboys went and got a proven veteran backup in for precisely this kind of situation, and while Dalton doesn't have the NFL MVP kind of ceiling that Dak has, he provides a high floor. Particularly when surrounded by all the skill position talent that the Cowboys have elsewhere. We can't forget that when Dalton came in to replace Prescott last week, he completed nine of his 11 pa ses for 111 yards. Plus, for all the problems the Cowboys have defensively (24th in NFL in DVOA), the Cardinals aren't much better (20th in DVOA). Nor does it help matters that the Cardinals lost for the season. The Cowboys aren't as good this week as they were last week, but they're good enough to win this game more times than not. Key Trend: The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.The Pick: Over 55.5 (-110) --That's right! We're double-dipping! I mentioned above that both of these teams have bad defenses. I also mentioned Rashaad Penny Jersey that the Cowboys still have a ton of talent on offense. What I didn't mention is that Arizona's offense can be explosive, thanks to and De'Andre Hopkins. Don't be surprised if a track meet breaks out at AT&T Stadium tonight, and we see a lot of points being put on the board. After all, the only Cowboys game to feature fewer than 55.5 points this year Nazair Jones Jersey was the season opener against the . The four since have included an average of 76.5 points per game.Key Trend: The over is 11-3 in Dallas' last 14 home games.The SportsLine Projection Model remains on fire with its NFL picks: 14-6 on top-rated plays this season and up over $7,800 for $100 players since its inception. . The DFS Rundown Must-HavePatrick Mahomes -- Whether you're playing the single-game slate or the full-slate of both games, you want Patrick Mahomes tonight. As mentioned above, when explaining the Chiefs pick, the Bills defense has been bad this season, particularly against the pa s. So load up on Mahomes as well as and Travis Kelce. Value -- If you're spending up on Mahomes and his top targets, you have to save elsewhere. Christian Kirk is a perfect option. We're expecting a high-scoring game in the nightcap as well, and Kirk could provide a stellar game. He finally blew up last week against the Jets, but it wasn't just because the Cardinals played the Jets. The seven targets he saw were the most he saw so far this season, and with De'Andre Hopkins drawing the lion's share of attention from the defense, it provides Kirk a lot of room to work with. He's capable of exploiting it. Full lineup adviceSportsLine's team of DFS insiders has you covered for daily fantasy sports. Mike McClure has won almost $2 million playing DFS and is one of the top MLB DFS experts anywhere. , and be sure to see what he's picking for NBA DFS here too. Use SportsLine's all-new from 10,000 simulations.Monday Night PropsTravis Kelce TD (-138)Travis Kelce over 6.5 receptions (+100)Kyler Murray under 42.5 rushing yards (-115) TD +250
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